Obama Backs Idea for Syria to Cede Control of Arms
By MICHAEL D. SHEAR, MICHAEL R. GORDON and STEVEN LEE MYERS
WASHINGTON — President Obama on Monday tentatively embraced a Russian
diplomatic proposal to avert a United States military strike on Syria by
having international monitors take control of the Syrian government’s
chemical weapons. The move added new uncertainty to Mr. Obama’s push to
win support among allies, the American public and members of Congress
for an attack.
In a series of television interviews with six cable and broadcast
networks, Mr. Obama capped a remarkable day of presidential lobbying for
military action and a dizzying series of developments at home and
abroad. Sergey V. Lavrov, the Russian foreign minister, said early
Monday that Syria could avoid an attack by putting its chemical weapons
in the hands of monitors and agreeing to ultimately eliminate its
massive arsenal of poison gas. It was an idea that was quickly praised
by top officials in Syria and some lawmakers in the United States.
“It’s possible,” Mr. Obama said on CNN of the Russian proposal, “if it’s real.”
Mr. Obama’s statements about the haphazardly constructed plan appeared
to offer him an exit strategy for a military strike he had been
reluctant to order, and it came as support on Capitol Hill for a
resolution authorizing force was slipping. Even some lawmakers who had
announced support for it reversed course.
Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the majority leader, said Monday evening
that he would not force an initial vote on the resolution on Wednesday,
slowing Senate consideration until at least next week. Democrats said
they had enough votes to overcome a filibuster but possibly not enough
to pass it.
Secretary of State John Kerry opened the door to the Russian idea when
he told a reporter at a news conference earlier on Monday that President
Bashar al-Assad of Syria could avoid strikes by agreeing to give up his
chemical weapons, although Mr. Kerry doubted the plan was feasible.
“Turn it over, all of it, without delay and allow the full and total
accounting,” he said. “But he isn’t about to do it, and it can’t be
done.”
Mr. Lavrov seized on the idea, saying that it might form the basis of a
compromise. “We don’t know whether Syria will agree with this,” he said
at the Foreign Ministry in Moscow, adding, “We call on the Syrian
leadership to not only agree to setting the chemical weapons’ storage
sites under international control, but also to their subsequent
destruction.”
But to some, the offhand nature of Mr. Kerry’s comment and Moscow’s
hurried response raised suspicions that the Russians and Syrians were
making plans to control the chemical stockpile or were, at the least,
using the proposal as a delaying tactic that could undermine Mr. Obama’s
efforts for a military strike.
Either way, the proposal did not appear to be one that Mr. Kerry or the Obama administration had intended.
The effort to police such a proposal, even if Syria agreed, would be a
laborious and prolonged effort, especially since Mr. Assad’s government
has shrouded its arsenal in secrecy for decades. As United Nations
inspectors discovered in Iraq after the Persian Gulf war in 1991, even
an invasive inspection program can take years to account for chemical
stockpiles and never be certain of complete compliance, something that
President George W. Bush used to justify the invasion of Iraq in 2003.
Syria’s foreign minister, Walid al-Moallem, who was in Moscow, welcomed
Russia’s proposal, though he stopped short of pledging that Mr. Assad
would comply. His remarks, however, tacitly acknowledged that Syria
possessed a chemical arsenal, something it had never publicly done.
It is not known whether Mr. Moallem has the authority to commit Mr.
Assad to a significant step like the international control and ultimate
destruction of an arsenal that Syria has maintained in large part as a
deterrent to Israel, which is widely assumed to have a nuclear arsenal
that it has never officially acknowledged.
The Kerry remark that inspired the Russian proposal did not appear to
signal a shift in policy. The State Department’s spokeswoman, Jen Psaki,
later clarified in an e-mail to reporters that Mr. Kerry had simply
been “making a rhetorical argument about the impossibility and
unlikelihood of Assad turning over chemical weapons he has denied
using.”
In Washington, a senior Democratic aide said the Russian proposal was a
significant factor in the delay of the Senate vote, allowing members to
consider the plan and also to hear from the president, who is to meet
with them at the Capitol before an address to the nation on Tuesday
night.
Mr. Obama called the Russian proposal “a potentially positive
development” in his interview on CNN, and promised that his
administration would engage with the Russians to see if the world could
“arrive at something that is enforceable and serious.” But he said that
“if we don’t maintain and move forward with a credible threat of
military pressure, I do not think we will actually get the kind of
agreement I would like to see.”
The Russian proposal received the early support of Senator Dianne
Feinstein, Democrat of California, the chairwoman of the Senate
Intelligence Committee. “I would welcome such a move,” Ms. Feinstein
said in a statement Monday afternoon.
The cautious tone from Mr. Obama about the Russian proposal suggested
that his administration was not yet ready to give up on its all-out push
for a military response to Syria’s use of chemical weapons against its
own citizens. Susan E. Rice, the president’s national security adviser,
continued that effort on Monday morning in a speech at the New America
Foundation, a Washington research institution, in which she made the
case for a military strike even as news of the Russian proposal was
crossing the Atlantic.
Ms. Rice emphasized the brutality of the chemical attacks, opening her
remarks by describing the “little children, laying on the ground, their
eyes glassy.” Failing to act, she said, would send a message of
weakness.
But by the end of the day, the White House had clearly signaled that the
Russian idea might offer a way to avoid the potential for Congressional
rejection of Mr. Obama’s plans for a strike. After meeting with Mr.
Obama in the White House, Hillary Rodham Clinton, the president’s former
secretary of state, told reporters that the proposal could be an
“important step” toward preventing Syria from using chemical weapons
again.
Later, in the television interviews, Mr. Obama repeated his desire to
take the plan seriously, while still pressing the case for military
action to the American public and lawmakers. Mr. Obama told NBC News
that he would take the plan “with a grain of salt initially.” But he
said that if Syrian officials accepted the Russian proposal, “then this
could potentially be a significant breakthrough.”
Reacting to comments by Mr. Kerry that military action against Syria
would be “unbelievably small,” Mr. Obama said any attack would not be
felt like a “pinprick” in Syria.
“The U.S. does not do pinpricks,” he said in the NBC interview. “Our
military is the greatest the world has ever known. And when we take even
limited strikes, it has an impact on a country like Syria.”
Mr. Obama also responded to warnings of “repercussions” that Mr. Assad
made in an interview on Monday morning with Charlie Rose of CBS News.
Mr. Obama waved aside that threat in an interview with Fox News.
“Well, actually, we know what Assad’s capabilities are, and, you know,
Mr. Assad’s are significant compared to a bunch of opposition leaders,
many of whom are not professional fighters,” the president said Monday
evening. “They’re significant relative to over 400 children that were
gassed. They’re not significant relative to the U.S. military.”
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