Nuclear Weapons: Hope at Last
by alethoBy Jim McCluskey | Dissident Voice | February 19, 2014
The
US, the UK, Russia, China and France are rebuilding or upgrading their
arsenals of nuclear weapons. The other four nuclear states too are
‘improving’ their arsenals. As we discuss the statistics and strategies
of ‘nuclear arsenals’ and ‘nuclear deterrence’ it can be hard to keep in
mind the reality underlying the abstract discussions. The nine nuclear
states have over 10,000 nuclear weapons
in their stockpiles. This is enough to wipe out the entire population
of the planet many times over together with all other life forms. Is
this sane? Has the human race lost its senses? A single United States
thermonuclear warhead, designated W88,
has an estimated ‘yield’ of 475 kilotons. The ‘yield’ is the
destructive power expressed in tons of TNT equivalent. The W88 is over
30 times more destructive than the bomb which wiped out Hiroshima. A
single W88 could completely destroy London, Moscow or New York. Each
bomb on a major city would kill millions of people; women, children,
babies, old people, everyone. The suffering would be indescribable and
for many would go on for months and years before death. No emergency
services could begin to cope There would be no relief. What sort of
people would do such a thing? What kind of human would threaten such an
atrocity?
The US government has 5 nuclear submarines
on patrol at all times carrying 1000 times the destructive power of the
Hiroshima bomb. Is it possible to imagine the degree of paranoia
represented by such a standing threat? The UK government has started to
spend one hundred billion pounds on rebuilding its Trident fleet of
nuclear submarines, each one with the capacity to incinerate over 40
million people. This is being done at a time when many citizens are
suffering from inadequate defences against flooding and when the social
services are being radically cut back.
The
situation is being rendered even more insanely dangerous by the US and
Russia which keep 1,800 weapons on high alert atop long-range ballistic
missiles that are ready to launch 5 to 15 minutes after receiving an
order!
It
is ironic that the worst offenders are the five permanent members of
the Security’ Council of the United Nations. They have had 69 years to
get rid of their nuclear weapons while all that the citizens of the
world hear from them are windy speeches around purported good intentions
which never come to fruition.
Citizens
of the world have simultaneously become aware that the nuclear states
do not intend to get rid of their nuclear weapons and that their
existence imposes a permanent and intolerable threat to us all. The
existence of nuclear weapons means they could be used by accident, by
misunderstanding or by malicious intent. How can we ever be sure that
some deranged psychopath will not gain power in one of the nuclear
states and deceive him/herself into believing that it is in their best
interests to make a first strike? How can we ever be sure that some
terrorist organisations will not hack into the electronic control
systems and carry out the launching themselves? And we now know that
even a small nuclear exchange could be a lethal threat to everyone on
the planet. In a limited nuclear war between India and Pakistan
20 million people would die from the nuclear blasts, fires, and
radioactive fallout. And the fallout would have global consequences that
would kill millions of people, disrupt climate patterns, and threaten
global agricultural collapse.
Furthermore
decent people round the globe know that the existence of nuclear
weapons is a brooding evil which undermines the moral integrity of
humankind. As the great moral leader Desmond Tutu wrote “Nuclear weapons are an obscenity. They are the very antithesis of humanity”…
The
only remedy is an enforced world ban on the existence of nuclear
weapons. The other weapons of mass destruction have already been banned.
It is the turn of the last and most destructive of them all.
And finally there is hope. The huge burgeoning of awareness in the citizens of the world is bearing fruit.
There
are 9 nuclear states and there are 183 non-nuclear states. The security
of the non-nuclear states is threatened by the irresponsible and
self-focused behaviour of the 9 others. But these 9 are outnumbered by
20 to one. The non-nuclear majority which do not feel the need for a
lethal ‘security’ crutch have decided to take the initiative. And rather
than focus on the numbers and ‘yields’ of the weapons it was wisely
decided to concentrate on the effects on humanity of the use of nuclear
weapons. The next logical development, as the nuclear states continue to
deny their obligations to shed their arsenals, is for the non-nuclear
states to proceed independently to enact a treaty outlawing these
weapons internationally. By focusing attention on the humanitarian
consequences of their use they are well on their way to doing so.
The first International Conference on the Humanitarian Impact of Nuclear Weapons was held in 2013. Humanity owes a great debt to Norway for this initiative.
This
ground-breaking and historic conference was attended by delegates from
127 countries and 70 nongovernmental organizations. The nuclear states
were invited but declined to attend. It is not easy to face up to the
implications of these arsenals especially if you bear the primary
responsibility. India and Pakistan sent observers.
After hearing presentations from a wide range of experts on the various effects of nuclear weapon detonations the conference concluded that “it
is unlikely that any state or international body could address the
immediate humanitarian emergency caused by a nuclear weapon detonation
in an adequate manner and provide sufficient assistance to those
affected.” Conference members also agreed that the effects of a nuclear
weapon detonation will not be constrained by national borders but will
produce significant negative regional and global effects.
Mexico
offered to host a follow-up meeting to this conference and such is the
vital importance of this approach that other states declared their
intention to organise additional events on this subject.
The Second Conference on the Humanitarian Impact of Nuclear Weapons
was held in Nayarit, Mexico, on 13 and 14 February 2014. It included
delegations representing 146 States, the United Nations, the
International Committee of the Red Cross, the Red Cross and Red Crescent
movement and civil society organizations.
The powerful summary statement of the conference Chair pointed out
that the broad participation of states and civil society reflected the
burgeoning awareness that this issue is of the utmost importance to all
the peoples of the world. Due to “…proliferation, the vulnerability of
nuclear command and control networks to cyber-attacks and to human error
and potential access to nuclear weapons by non-state actors, in
particularly terrorist groups” the risks are “growing globally”. The
risks of “accidental, mistaken, unauthorised or intentional use is
growing significantly due to more countries holding weapons on higher
levels of combat readiness”. As awareness of the humanitarian impact
grows hearts and minds are being changed worldwide. These weapons must
be outlawed. “In the past, weapons have been eliminated after they have
been outlawed. We believe this is the path to achieve a world without
nuclear weapons”. He called for a “legally binding
instrument” and declared that the “time has come to initiate a
diplomatic process conducive to this goal. Our belief is that this
process should comprise a specific time frame, the definition of the
most appropriate fora, and a clear and substantive framework, making the
humanitarian impact of nuclear weapons the essence of disarmament
efforts. It is time to take action.”
The Third Conference on the Humanitarian Impact of Nuclear Weapons will be held in Austria later this year. The movement for an international ban is unstoppable.
The International Campaign Against Nuclear Weapons (ICAN)
is a coalition of over 350 organisations in 90 countries. Ray Acheson,
in his closing statement on behalf of ICAN to the Second Conference
included the words: “The claim by some states that they continue to
need these weapons to deter their adversaries has been exposed by the
evidence presented at this conference and in Oslo as a reckless and
unsanctionable gamble with our future.”
He
went on to explain that the use against cities of less than one percent
of existing weapons would put billions of lives in jeopardy and have a
long lasting detrimental effect on both the planet’s climate and
agriculture. He insisted that we must act to get rid of them or they
will be used by accident, misunderstanding or malicious intent. Getting
rid of them will take courageous leadership by states but such
leadership will have the support of civil society. He concluded: “It is
time to change the status quo. It is time we ban nuclear weapons.”
So
with these and other major forces at work there is an unstoppable
movement towards banning these Armageddon machines. The nuclear states
have become a sorry sight. Frozen in a realm of outdated thinking which
was always inhuman; their leaders frightened and paranoid and prepared
to put the survival of humanity in jeopardy simply in order to feel
important and powerful as they strut, uncomprehending, on the world
stage.
Their brief and nightmarish ascendancy is over. The world has moved on.
~
Jim McCluskey is the author of The Nuclear Threat.

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